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Global Markets Analysis – 28 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.04.2017 周五 金融市场临近5.1日劳动节假期 大多期货市场将放假停盘

美盘豆油7月合约,期价继续在32.00一线波动震荡,仍然处于一个上下两难的尴尬境界。由于当前油脂商品基本面消息匮乏,利空因素基本公布完部,但又缺少利多消息的大力支持,因此造成美盘豆油窄区间横盘现象。临近5.1假期,我们继续等待基本层面与技术层面的出现行情转机。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今天是内盘油脂商品五一劳动节假期前的最后一个交易日(节后5月2日上午开盘),今天上午盘面表现多空主力均处于谨慎,成交略显清淡,我们继续保持中线回落整理之后的筑底观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周四冲高回落收阴,今天周五盘面低开高走小阳表现—–马棕榈仍处于中线下挫之后的低位酝酿拐点走势状态,由于缺少利多因素支持,盘面上多头主力呈低位抵抗性运作。

小结:当前美国大豆播种进程达到8%左右,后期的天气炒作将渐渐纳入日程。美豆油中线回落整理之后处于跌无可跌地步,我们继续等待技术上的反弹走高要求(下方空间不大)。下周初临近5.1假期,考虑到本次假期时间不长,我们操作上多单依旧持仓不动,共同关注假期回来后美豆油的具体表现。

[SUMMARY]
• Speculation on the weather gathers momentum.
• It is believed that the drop of US soybean oil is limited after the downward correction.
• We anticipate a technical rebound and uptrend.

[ACTION]
• Taking into account the upcoming 1st May public holiday, traders may retain long position.
• We are to pay close attention to the performance of US soybean oil after the holiday.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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