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Global Markets Analysis – 28 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.12.2015 周一 美盘与马盘今天开盘;大陆内盘期价依旧小幅震荡

当前油脂类商品基本面整体围绕着南美产区天气炒作,巴西天气干旱与降雨是油脂商品主要的炒作对象。美盘大豆受巴西天气干旱因降雨预期而有所缓解,美盘黄豆连期价略有下滑。美盘豆油3月合约走势强于美大豆,基本上还依托下方均线呈现反弹上行态势,我们继续保持对美盘豆油后市短线的短多观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,由于大陆内盘无圣诞节假期,因此比美盘与马盘多运行了几天。期价整体呈现小阴K线整理走势,日K线图表上,短期均线的技术支撑力度依然较强,后市的反弹上行走势未产生变化,继续短多对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,在连续停盘2天之后,今天周一早盘开盘低开,上午早盘期价一度走低,但在马来西亚令吉特汇率疲软,以及恶劣天气影响马来西亚棕榈油未来产量等因素影响下,制约了马盘毛棕榈油的下跌空间,马盘棕榈油基准3月仍在积蓄能量等待外围市场配合一举突破上方2500整数大关的技术阻挡,我们暂时依旧短多观点不变。

小结:全球油脂商品因圣诞节假期影响,成交略显清淡,成交量稍有萎缩,但在技术走势未出现新的变化前,我们继续保持前期的短线反弹上行观点不变。个人观点认为中长线多单继续持仓不动,短线多单也继续谨慎持有。耐心等待市场从节日气氛中转移回注意力。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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