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Global Markets Analysis – 28 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.12.2016 周三 美盘豆油止跌企稳;内盘与马盘油脂商品反弹走高,油脂类商品多单可持有

美盘豆油3月合约,昨日周二晚间红盘中阳表现,期价止跌迹象初步显露(向下空间暂被封杀)。在上升趋势线位置酝酿拐点走势正在最后进行中,虽然此刻盘面上尚未出现较大涨幅(12月22日的长阴急挫之后的拐点酝酿再耐心等待一半日), 耐心等待后市的红盘反身动作出现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,昨日周二盘中红盘中阳上涨,下影线之后的期价反身动作开始显露,我们短多思维对待,等待美盘的后续支持。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,该品种短线走势可圈可点,连续的“三根红小兵”,期价已经显露出反身上涨态势,期价距离12月16日前高也仅一点点距离,我们保持反身反弹走势观点,多单持有。

小结:内盘与马盘油脂商品短线反弹走势较为明显,美盘豆油走势节奏上略微慢半拍,但我们整体的回落整理之后的反身看多观点不变。观点认为具体操作上:高低位2次接盘多单继续持有,后市关注美盘豆油3月的后续支持信号。

[SUMMARY]
• The short-term reversal of China and Malaysia edible oils is relatively apparent in comparison to that of US soybean oil.
• Our long position outlook, however, remains unchanged.

[ACTION]
• Traders who entered long position at high or low prices may continue holding, as we observe the performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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