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Global Markets Analysis – 28 December 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.12.2017周四 美盘豆油关键技术位处震荡内盘马盘油脂商品多单继续持有

美盘豆油3月合约,昨日周三晚间期价小幅冲高回落,继续在上升趋势线位置震荡徘徊,阳K线右上角的小阴K线—–表明美盘豆油仍在积蓄上攻动能。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1805主力合约,昨日周三盘面小阳K线上涨表现,今天周四盘面可能追随美盘豆油小幅走低,只要今日期价下挫幅度不大,继续短多看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,周二周三连续2天期价高开高走表现,超跌之后的“低位触底反弹”走势表现的更为明显,低位“拐点”迹象突出。考虑到昨日晚间美盘走势出现,今日马盘棕榈恐将出现小幅走低,即便出现阳K线右侧小阴K线,只要期价不吞没前面的阳K线,迹象反弹观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油依旧“一波三折”短线走势,期价在关键技术位仍存在挣扎纠缠犹豫,等待短线上攻人气的聚集。内盘马盘油脂商品今日恐将阴K线回落整理走势表现,只要今天跌幅不是很大,则继续反弹观点对待。操作上:前期多单继续持有,部分散户交易者趁今天期价回落时候,近月即将进入交割月合约可转换为后面远月合约。

[SUMMARY]
• Direction of US soybean oil remains indecisive, in anticipation of a strengthening of upward momentum.
• Candlestick indicators suggest China and Malaysia edible oils may retrace today.
• We maintain a rebound outlook, as long as the depth of the retracement is not significant.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long positions.
• Retail traders may take advantage of the possible reversal today, to roll-over positions to far month contracts.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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