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Global Markets Analysis – 28 February 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.02.2017 周二 二月份最后一天交易 前期多单继续持有

美盘豆油5月合约,中线回落整理渐近尾声,5浪结束后,当前期价在低位横盘波动震荡,盘中杀跌动能衰退,等待技术性超跌反弹。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1705主力合约,2月中旬以前还呈强势整理状态,美盘最后的第5浪下跌拖累内盘,内盘追随性下挫(内盘3浪整理结构 少2浪),当前短线期价抵抗性整理,期价呈阴阳交错式波动,后市整理结束仍存上行动能。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,2月17日才正式脱离出原来大的高位强势横盘区间(跌破区间下沿),同内盘一起追随美盘多运行了一个第5浪的下跌,考虑到美盘第5浪接近尾声,因此马盘棕榈下方的空间不会很大。

小结:内盘马盘油脂商品短线抵抗性横盘整理,盘中成交清淡,市场观望情绪较浓。当前所有关注焦点均在美盘豆油上—–只待美盘豆油出现明显的第5小浪结束信号,油脂商品才会真正出现一个超跌后的反弹行情,明天就进入三月份了,我们继续关注美盘3月份月K线的红盘表现(预期)。操作上:2月份中旬前略高位多单谨慎持有,前几日低位补仓新进多单略乐观持有。后期仍存在解套获利机会。

[SUMMARY]
• China and Malaysia edible oils move in sideway correction, with subdued trading as many traders stay on the sidelines.
• Edible oils may stage a rebound as soon as bullish technical indicators on US soybean oil emerge.
• We shall pay attention to the performance of the US soybean March contract.

[ACTION]
• Traders may cautiously maintain their long positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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