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Global Markets Analysis – 28 January 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.01.2016 周四 以静制动对待当前油脂商品短线的反弹上行走势

美元指数中长线上涨之后,短线角度出现小幅滑落。以黄金为代表的大宗商品压力减轻,美黄金连短线持续走高。美原油连依旧在低位顽强挣扎,短线稍微出现长期暴跌之后的止跌企稳迹象。

美盘黄豆连横盘不动,近期表现萎靡不振,整体期价变化不大。美盘豆油3月沿一定斜率小幅震荡盘升,下方的均线系统技术支撑效果明显,从技术上观察,美豆油3月合约的短线上行走势延续中,仅仅是上涨幅度略小,我们对美豆油的观点继续保持长期下跌之后的横盘震荡筑大底下的短线小幅反弹观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,在连续4天红盘小幅上涨之后,今天周四盘中呈现十字星K线小幅波动,期价今天窄区间震荡,成交量萎缩,盘中交投不旺,多空主力均呈现一种谨慎态度。继续等待美盘豆油短线走势的指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,昨天周三盘中,期价中阳上涨一举突破上方的短期均线压制,短线走势上依然保持震荡爬高态势。今天盘中虽然也追随内盘走势,期价呈十字星整理状态,但在反弹上行动能未衰竭前,我们继续保持短线上的反弹观点不变。

小结:全球油脂类商品弱势反弹短线走势延续中,我们当前操作理念先把眼光放近些,由于全球经济的整体迷茫造成投资人的心理困惑仍较为严重,我们暂时不把眼光放太远。更多的暂时以短线交易为主,以期价的短线的运行轨迹为线索,追随性的操作为上策。观点认为具体操作上:原来的中长线老多单继续持仓不动,短线的新进多单继续谨慎持有,静观盘面的变化。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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