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Global Markets Analysis – 28 July 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.07.2015 周二 油脂商品短线震荡下探;短线短空看待

美盘豆油12月,昨日晚间继续小阴K线下跌,期价在30.00上方震荡,已经相当接近2015年1月29日的低点 29.79位置,该技术位是这一年以来横盘整理的下沿最低点位置,该位置中线角度将存在强有力的技术支撑。从短线而言,美豆油短线反弹冲高之后的下滑已经进行了一段时间,短线期价已经较远离日图表上的均线系统,虽然下探寻支撑过程仍在进行中,但下方的空间在被压缩,不可盲目看很多。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,昨日周一盘中阴K线下跌,今天早盘低开高走,午盘红盘报收,短线走势从昨天开始追随美盘豆油下滑表现明显,下探整理延续中,尚未见到明显的短线止跌信号。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,受周边外围市场整体疲软影响,同样期价下跌明显,昨天的跳空令短线盘面发生变化,宣告多头一直以来的短线护盘暂时失败,短线后市仍需要下一个台阶寻找新的支撑。

小结:全球油脂商品整体断下下滑寻支撑走势明显,在美盘豆油尚未找到下方的技术支撑前,对内盘与马盘油脂商品暂短线看空,中线看横盘整理,长线以震荡筑大底。建议散户朋友以操作周期的不同要分别对待自己手中仓单。个人观点认为中长线多单持有者多单继续持有不急不躁。短线操作者昨日多单止损出局后,反手逢高短空,尽量短线进出,见好就收,不建议过久持仓过夜。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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