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Global Markets Analysis – 28 July 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.07.2016 周四 继续短空思维对待当前短线走势

美盘豆油12月合约,短线期价仍呈下挫走势,但下跌的幅度已经收窄,我们继续保持短空观点下的下挫整理走势,继续关注下探的力度与幅度空间。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609合约,临近8月份了,我们1609合约要逐步转移到1701合约上去。内盘油脂商品继续追随美盘豆油的短线走势,短线的回落整理延续中,从盘中抵抗情绪下的走势上观察,多头主力并没有完全放弃,期间呈现震荡式下探模式,在调整未结束前,我们短空疲软观点不变。

从当前马盘毛棕榈油基准10月来说-马盘棕榈油的多头主力也在暗中悄悄护盘,拒绝期间下跌的幅度过大,仅仅是由于美盘豆油尚未完全调整到位,因此马盘毛棕榈油在短线走势上也存在抵抗性下挫整理态势,我们暂且以谨慎的短空思维对待。

小结:美盘豆油12月合约期价短线下挫整理延续中,大陆内盘与马盘棕榈油二者呈现出抵抗性追随美盘走势,在短线角度的短空思维观点不变情况下,我们静观油脂商品后续走势情况。观点认为具体操作上建议减少频繁交易,或场外休息观望 或多空锁单或仅仅少量空单-均保持安静心态,本波短暂的回落整理行情整体的动静不会很大,恰好我们利用这个机会从下月8月份开始把持仓仓单逐步调整到主力合约上去,权当7月份的最后几天为简单的过渡期。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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