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Global Markets Analysis – 28 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.06.2016 周二 内盘油脂商品率先出现异动出现回落整理结束后的反弹上行迹象

美盘豆油12月合约,在上周五中阴K线下跌走势之后,昨日周一盘中期价小阳表现,未延续以前的下挫走势,今天周二亚洲电子盘又继续小阳表现,期价虽然整体变化不大,但已经隐隐出现止跌企稳的出步迹象,谨防短线角度的回落整理结束后的变盘,继续关注今日晚间美盘豆油的走势。

大陆内盘油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,该品种的短线走势表现却与美盘豆油略有不同-在昨日低开高走长阳之后,依然形成了“阳包阴”的吞没K线组合,今天周二早盘,期价又继续高开高走,回落整理之后的强势特征表现明显, 不出意外的话,大陆内盘油脂商品将率先走出短线反弹上行行情,空单离场后反手短多今日进场。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,连续几日期价十字星表现,期价并未创出新低,虽然今天盘中期价尚未出现走强迹象,但短线也出现一定程度的止跌企稳。马盘棕榈我们前期提到过-本波回落整理是马盘棕榈油率先出现的下挫整理行情,在6月7日当天就开始的,截止到今天已经15个交易日,回落整理的下跌幅度较大,短线技术整理的也相当充分,散户朋友空单离场后,可逢低适量多单进场试盘。

小结:在美盘豆油与马盘棕榈油尚未出现技术走强前,大陆内盘油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油,昨日今日两天率先出现变盘苗头-期价出现反弹走高欲望,这也是我们前几日一直在内心中时刻警惕的,对于该走势苗头我们早就在心理上有了提前的心理准备。在连续几天建议空单逢低平仓离场之后,今天开始可适量多单反手逢低进场试盘,后市短线不排除油脂类商品将出现反弹上行走势,同时关注今日晚间美盘豆油是否在技术上支持大陆内盘走势。后市短线我们以短多观点对待。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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