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Global Markets Analysis – 28 March 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


周五 激进者少量接盘 稳健者等待长阳

继大陆内盘豆油和棕榈油提前考验60天线支撑后,马盘毛棕榈油昨天终于也回落到该位置,后市再继续下挫的空间已经不大,今天将正式考验该技术支撑位的心理承受力,短线走势有3种可能:1.金针探底收十字星,2.低开高手收阳,3.由急挫转为向右侧横盘, 待这3种考验动作完成,等待一根长阳收红,那反身上涨就基本确立了。对于该品种,当前要做的是空单全部出局, 激进操作者可先少量多单逢低进场接盘,待后市长阳确立时候加仓。

美盘豆油是目前唯一未触及到60天线的油脂商品,没有它的支持其他品种走出独立行情的难度非常大, 从盘面观察,美豆油右侧小横盘,下跌幅度收窄,即不反身向上,也不下挫触及60天线,留给市场一丝丝悬念。

大陆内盘豆油,棕榈油早盘依旧在60天线上方红盘整理,没有美豆油的支持独立反身动作不肯太大,但也没追随马盘下挫,表现为左右为难,从盘面观察,多头接盘的信心依然很强,B浪回抽的底部阶段最为明显。整体表现为左右为难中等待美盘,马盘调整的结束信号。

小结:油脂类商品短线处于B浪回抽确认的结尾阶段,现在只剩下美豆油一个品种给个答案,对于内盘和马盘的操作者,可参考昨日的操作模式准备多单逢低进场接盘,(昨天说的已经很清楚了)。其中要求较为稳健的操作者可待美盘 马盘做出明确长阳上行态势时候追多进场,虽然进场点位不是最低,但最为稳妥。 个人依据自己的性格选择操作模式。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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