Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 28 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.03.2016 周一 油脂商品回落整理过程中短线走势出现分化

美盘豆油5月合约,上周五停盘一天后,今天周一亚洲电子盘开盘,截止到现在红盘表现。对美盘豆油来说,短线的回落整理行情延续中,我们对该品种的短线走势保持该观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,上周五时分在无美盘走势指引下,周五当天红盘上涨运行,今天周一盘中又继续高位波动,盘中拒绝下跌的心态较为明显,抵抗性质浓厚,特别是棕榈油1609主力合约,今天周一盘中又出现了高点, 期价仍在较高位置波动震荡,多头主力在超卖之后仍存在意犹未尽感觉。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,在周三与周四小幅回落后,上周五也是红盘表现,盘中倔强的发力抵抗,今天周一盘中走势与内盘棕榈油走势相似,也呈现高位的震荡波动,期价拒绝下跌意愿较强,但在连续多日上涨之后,在技术超买前提下,我们不建议继续追高,后市仍存回落整理的技术要求,仅仅是距离费波纳茨数字21天还差几天时间(今天为第18个交易日,记得我们前几天报告曾说过,随后5-6个交易日中以逢高多单减仓为操作模式,就是指的还有几天的时间差)。

小结:油脂类商品短线走势上出现分化,美盘的回落整理态势还较为明显。而内盘与马盘的棕榈油商品却拒绝下挫整理,期价仍在高位震荡波动,(内盘豆油短线还勉强属于回落整理走势),棕榈油的高位震荡表明多头主力还未死心,对后市短线还有拔高意愿,但考虑到本波短线已经上行日子不短,回落整理的要求仍然存在,我们暂且把今天棕榈油的走势当做脉冲式波动看待,上冲之后让存在回落整理要求。 观点认为操作上:中长线多单持有,其中部分波段性仓单可逢高减仓出局。短线交易者中,部分剩余多单可逢高平仓了结,随后我们关注未来3天的市场走势。对后市短线角度,高位波动之后,我们内心还存在有回落整理观点。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock