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Global Markets Analysis – 28 October 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.10.2015 周三 美国大豆收割阶段尾声;油脂类商品承压下探整理

美国农业部昨日周二最新报告显示,截止到10月25日,美国大豆收割率已经接近90%。在大豆产量居高不下压力下,美盘黄豆连期价保持下挫走势。美盘豆油12月合约期价也呈短线下探走势,期价重心继续下移中,下方的回落空间仍是我们关注的焦点,耐心等待下方的止跌企稳后的机会。

中国大陆市场由于当前全球大豆价格低廉,而进口量大增,国内大豆库存相对充足。 因此内盘油脂类商品期价继续承压。内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,今天周三早盘低开低走,盘面疲软情况较为明显,短线期价下行延续中。继续保持短空观点。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,昨日周二早盘低开期价走低,后在午后多头主力主动进场护盘情况下期价出现走高,下午盘中期价继续走高,终盘以中阳K线收盘于2321令吉。今天周三早盘棕榈油基准1月低开,期价小幅波动。以昨天以及今天马棕榈盘中表现,能明显看出有多头护盘痕迹,虽然当前短线下探整理中,但恐后市下方的回落空间不会很大。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线下探走势延续中,虽然部分商品有多头护盘,但当前整体短线走势仍被空头主力牢牢掌握,个人继续保持短线下探回落整理观点对待。观点认为激进散户操作者或新进场短线空单继续持有。中线多单与短线空单形成锁仓的稳健操作者也暂时持有双向单,耐心等待回落结束后的平空进多机会。无仓的散户朋友暂时场外观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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