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Global Markets Analysis – 29 April 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.04.2016 周五 内盘五一劳动节放假三天;今天是最后一个交易日

纽约原油连反弹震荡上行短线走势行情延续中,美盘黄豆连强力维持在1000美分整数关上方。而美盘豆油7月合约,不经意间期价已经悄悄滑落下来,美豆油期价连续的疲软走势,考验下方均线支撑的回落下坠行情越来越变得非常明显,这在一定程度上给予了内盘与马盘短线走势的方向指引。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,连续几天来呈现减仓下行-短线多头逢高平仓离场迹象明显,(增仓下行为空头进场打压;两者含义不同)期价虽然在均线多头排列情况下还略微保持一点点的短多抵抗(回落幅度小于美盘豆油),但短线冲高之后的下探走势已经不能避免。前期我们建议提前逢高减仓后的操作者,暂时场外观望以及不建议持单过节。本次内盘五一假期放假3天 ,5月3日周二开盘交易。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周四早盘,马棕榈跳空低开,虽然全体呈现十字星走势,但下跌幅度较大,追随美盘 内盘油脂商品走势较为明显,短线下探回落走势清晰。由于我们提前警惕了前几日盘面上的疲软态势,已经早早建议多单逢高减仓离场,已然规避了期价下滑所带来的风险。今天周五盘中期价已经下挫到60天均线下方,短线的下探整理进行中。

小结:全球油脂类商品反弹后的下挫整理走势进行中,我们继续保持短线角度的短空观点对待。由于临近五一劳动节假期,我们不建议持仓过节,因此短线多单逢高离场后的场外观望休息,也是一种操作心态调整,待节后我们从新进场再战不迟。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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