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Global Markets Analysis – 29 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.08.2016 周一 全球油脂类商品抵抗性回落整理行情延续中

由于美国农作物大豆生长情况良好,特别是8月份的天气情况非常利于大豆生长,对美大豆单产以及总产量增加的担忧。美盘黄大豆期价呈下挫整理走势。美盘豆油12月合约,近几天错列的下行态势也相对明显,连续的几根阴K线,表明美盘豆油短线的回落整理行情延续中。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,追随美盘油脂商品走弱,其中豆油1701合约,当期价下挫到下方的60天均线位置后,期价下挫幅度开始收窄,而棕榈油1701合约,更是盘中出现抵抗情绪,多头主力的护盘迹象较为明显,在调整信号未结束前,我们继续以强势整理的短线走势看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,今天周一早盘高开低走,期价仍处于上下波动震荡中,期价虽然较为反复,但我们短线的回落整理观点继续保持不变。

小结:油脂类商品短线的抵抗性强势整理走势延续中,今天周一盘面走势无新意-我们继续保持前期的短线回落整理观点对待,继续以中线看涨;短线看空思维不变。 观点认为具体操作上:中长线交易者多单持有,短线无仓单的交易者场外观望。继续等待后市的回落整理结束信号的出现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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