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Global Markets Analysis – 29 February 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.02.2016 周一 油脂商品期价回落到60天均线位置反复震荡延续中

纽约原油市场期价变化不大,继续在日K线图表上60天均线下方受阻震荡,期价呈横盘式波动,短线上攻无方向感,不排除60天均线的制约。

全球油脂类商品中,各品种也呈现出小幅波动震荡走势。其中美盘豆油5月,期价回落到下方60天均线位置,期价波动开始收窄,基本符合我们预期中的该位置有一定的支撑力度,在该位置多空主力在操作上均小心翼翼,均未发力主动进攻。

在美盘豆油短线方向走势不明朗前期下,大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约以及马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,当期价下挫回落到60天线位置,盘面中均出现部分多头抵抗痕迹,短线观察来看,该技术位置确实存在一定技术支撑,但短线角度的回落整理仍未出现完全的结束信号,我们依旧延续上周末时候的操作策略: 以短线角度的回落整理看待,短线空单可持有-当盘中出现急挫可适当空单平仓离场操作。而中长线多单继续持有。建议后市继续关注油脂类商品在60天均线位置的表现,毕竟当前日K线图表上的均线系统仍未多头排列(建议中长线维持大观点 而短线追随期价的运行轨迹操作;因操作周期的不同而分别对待)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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