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Global Markets Analysis – 29 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.01.2015 周四 月末美豆油急挫

美盘豆油3月,周三晚间长阴下跌,盘中期价见新低30.05,收盘于30.33。第7日惯性下挫,下跌动能得到一定释放,基本达到我们前期预期的30.00目标位置,后市下方的空间已经不大,耐心等待止跌企稳。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油1505合约,今天追随美盘下行,但盘中底背离现象初现。当前现货市场油脂商品价格保持稳定,后市春节与元宵节备货利好尚未显现。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,昨日中阳收涨,今日低开十字星整理,下跌幅度较小,盘中抵抗性强于大陆内盘。

小结:美盘豆油下挫寻底来势汹汹,盘中急跌下探迹象明显,建议操作者耐心等待美盘下跌动能的完全释放干净。个人观点上认为继续保持长线角度下探寻底观点不变。短线角度美盘的下跌略显猛烈。观点认为朝短线空单出局后观望,不建议继续追空。长线角度下的低位接盘多单操作开始纳入操作计划,其中激进操作者先行 逢低在美盘30.00位置所对应的内盘和马盘油脂进场,少量试盘埋伏。稳健者可适当观察几日后再进场不迟。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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