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Global Markets Analysis – 29 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.06.2015 周一 油脂商品关注明天的重要报告出炉

美元指数再次反弹上行,全球大宗商品承压,国际原油小幅下跌。贵金属、有色金属、化工类橡胶等待商品普遍出现不同程度下期价下挫。

唯有美盘大豆短线反弹上行依旧。其中美国豆油12月合约,上周五冲高回落阴K线收盘。今天周一亚洲电子早盘低开小阴K线走势,期价略显疲软,但短线的反弹尚未出现完全走坏迹象,以及短线反弹观点看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,受美盘豆油期价下滑影响,今天周一早盘出现下跌,期价在下方60天均线位置略有反复。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,今天周一早盘走势略强于大陆内盘,期价仍在前几天长阳K线(6月24日)之后的右上角震荡,期价下挫幅度不大。

小结:油脂类商品将有重大报告在周二出炉,当前市场操作人气相对谨慎,周二美国农业部将公布大豆种植面积预测数字以及季度库存。马来西亚政府也将周二公布船运调查机构6月份棕榈油的出口数据。建议在具体报告出炉前,油脂商品市场期价出现波动,多空主力均有不同程度减仓。在技术未完全走坏前,建议继续保持短多观点不变。个人观点认为短线多单,中长线多单继续持有,同时密切关注明天报告对后市行情的影响。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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