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Global Markets Analysis – 29 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.06.2017 周四激进型交易者昨日已进多单谨慎持有稳健型交易者今日可少量多单跟进

美盘大豆由于美国大豆生长情况不及预期中理想,美黄豆连短线期价小幅从低位走高。美豆油12月合约期价也出现错列走高的迹象,但能否出现大的发力动作也尚待观察。我们继续以中线角度的低位横盘震荡看待(仍不排除短线走高的可能)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今天周四盘面红盘表现,特别是内盘豆油1709合约,今日的中阳上涨,期价已经上破前几日6月19日的高点,短线走强态势较棕榈油更强一些。内盘豆油短多看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,从6月19日期价滑落下来以后,最近几天期价右侧横盘(昨日今天小阴K线表现,既未发力上行,也未再度下挫),短线走势比较模糊,但考虑到美盘原油已经从低位开始“转身反弹”,后市可能出现对棕榈油短线走势的提振作用,暂以回落整理过程中酝酿做多人气观点对待。

小结:国际原油短线反弹走高,美盘豆油略微止跌企稳,整体观察油脂类商品—–下方回落空间幅度有限,为防止期价瞬间上涨——激进型交易者可少量多单试盘,昨日已经进场的多单谨慎持有。稳健型交易者亦可适量多单逢低跟进,亦可再多观望一下—-具体操作上可根据个人的脾气性格与操作习惯分别对待。当前油脂类商品走势非单边大行情时期—–建议以短线交易为主。

[SUMMARY]
• As global crude oil stages a rebound, US soybean oil seems to be halting its decline.
• The downside of edible oils appears to be limited.
• With edible oils moving sideways, short-term trading is recommended.

[ACTION]
• Aggressive traders may enter into long position in small position, in addition to those initiated yesterday.
• Passive traders opt to go long or stay on the sidelines at the moment.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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