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Global Markets Analysis – 29 November 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


29.11.2016 周二 美盘豆油昨日晚间长上影线;内盘与马盘油脂商品今日小幅整理

昨日周一晚间,美盘豆油1月合约,盘中曾一度中阳上涨(两阳夹一阴表现),但在随后盘中创出近期新高37.63之后,出现了冲高回落的上影线(在期价远离均线系统后;上涨动能未跟随上),这表明短线上方存在一定压力,我们耐心等待下方的均线系统向上靠拢过来。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在美盘昨日晚间未能呈现两阳夹一阴的继续上扬态势后,今天周二盘中期价略有走软,以小阴K线短暂调整,期价在下方5日均价处仍有支撑,只要跌幅不要太多,我们则继续保持看多观点。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周一盘中期价小阳表现,距离11月24日高点仅仅一步之遥。今天周二早盘受美盘与内盘不利走势影响,也同样出现期价走软,以小阴K线震荡调整,以下方5日均线设置为多单止盈点多单继续持有。

小结:美盘豆油昨日晚间冲高回落以长上影线的小阳K线十字星收盘,盘中的强势未能保持到收盘时刻。美盘的短线走势影响到今天内盘与马盘油脂商品的走势, 内盘与马盘油脂商品周二盘中小幅下跌整理,以阴K线表现-只要今天阴K线的幅度不要太深,我们就继续以短多思维看待。观点认为操作上:不必太多惊慌,多单继续持有,等待美盘豆油下方的均线系统向上靠拢。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil was not able to maintain its strong run last night towards the end of the trading session.
• China and Malaysia edible oils were affected by US soybean oil and experienced a downtrend correction on Tuesday.
• We shall maintain our short-term long position outlook, as long as technical volatility remains relatively low.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long positions and wait for US soybean oil technical indicators to show bullish signals.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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