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Global Markets Analysis – 3 April 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


日周四 以静制动 持仓观察

昨日晚间美黄豆美豆油继长阳之后,昨晚冲高回落表现,其中美豆油回落到长阳K线一半位置,收盘为带长上影线的阴K线,表明冲高过程中上方存在短线压力。

昨日大陆内盘油脂商品,豆油 棕榈油1409合约同样出现冲高回落走势,今天早盘又跳空低开弥补昨天高开的跳空缺口,从这2日的表现来看,期价大幅跳跃式上下宽幅震荡,虽有下方均线支撑,但本波C浪上涨行情的后市发展必定不会一帆风顺,这点我们要提前做个心理准备。

马盘毛棕榈油6月,昨日追随外盘跳空高开,日内表现却依然较弱,在外围油脂商品红盘时候,唯独马棕榈油高开低走,终盘小阴K线收盘。表明马棕榈油自身存在较强的压力。

小结:昨日内外盘油脂商品冲高会落,C浪序幕虽然拉开,但呈一波三折走势,C浪开端的不流畅,令我们对C浪的后市运行高度产生疑问。随后我们关注的焦点问题放在C浪的高度上。 当前我们能做的就是以静制动,已买进的油脂类接盘多单继续持有,持仓观察盘面变化。(另外内盘豆粕1409持有多单者,由于该品种率先油脂商品上涨,涨幅已经很大,可适量多单减持。) 油脂商品操作思路继续保持B浪结尾C浪开端观点不变。密切关注后市反身力度的强弱,技术分析重点放在后市C浪高度上,有新变化我们会及时报告提醒。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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