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Global Markets Analysis – 3 January 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美豆油3月合约,昨日晚间跳空高开上涨,期价终盘报收于33.57——该价位为原来上升趋势线的上方。 美豆油昨日晚间的红盘表现,对内盘 马盘油脂商品存在一定提振支持作用, 若美豆油期价不再继续像前面那样“反复”,恐美盘豆油短线的反弹动作恐将拉开序幕,后市关注美豆油短线走势的“持续性”,暂时以超跌之后的弱势反弹观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,昨日周二盘面中阳K线上涨, 率先领涨油脂类商品。 前期的疲软态势略有改善(主要是元旦期间中国现货市场油价出现上涨),我们继续以谨慎的短多观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,昨天周二首个交易日,马盘棕榈期价高开,盘中曾一度上涨,下午尾盘期价略有回落,终盘以跳空高开的十字星收盘于2532令吉特, 期价底部上一个台阶,继续短多思维。

小结: 全球油脂类商品在2018年首个交易日红盘上涨表现,一改前期的疲弱走势,短线角度的”低位拐点”苗头更加明显起来,我们继续以超跌之后的短线反弹观点对待。 具体操作上: 前期多单与新进补仓多单谨慎持有,密切关注美盘豆油反弹走势的持续性。(短线反弹观点对待)。

• Global edible oils moved higher at the first trading day in 2018.
• In short-term, the market rebounded obviously after the oversold condition in the market has occurred.
• We remain a rebound outlook.

• Traders who are holding long positions may retain those positions with cautions and pay close attention to the rebounded movement of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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