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Global Markets Analysis – 3 July 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.07.2017周一美国农业部报告利多美大豆豆油闻风而动

上周末美国农业部公布报告:美国大豆j结转库存为9.63亿蒲式耳,低于此前市场分析师们预期值9.81亿蒲式耳。美国大豆2017年度播种面积为创纪录的8950万英亩,比去年提高7%,但低于市场预期的8994.6万英亩—–美大豆库存与播种面积双双低于市场预期值,报告呈现利多氛围,上周五晚间,美黄豆连受利多提振长阳飙涨,今天周一早盘又跳空高开,当前期价维持在970.25一线。受美大豆上涨提振,美盘豆油12月合约上周五晚间同样中阳上涨,期价稳稳站于日K线图表60天均线上方,基本符合我们此前预期走势,继续短多看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,受美国利多消息传闻影响,今天周一早盘期价高开高走,中阳红盘表现,前期多单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,今天周一上午盘面跳空高开十字星表现,盘面涨幅略弱一些,但我们有理由相信,在后期随着国际原油美盘豆油期价的不断走高,马盘棕榈油仍有补涨机会。

小结:美国农业部最新报告给油脂商品市场打了一针“强心剂”,油脂类商品闻风反弹走高,我们继续保持短线反弹观点不变。具体操作上:前期低位埋伏多单继续持有。

[SUMMARY]
• Edible oils stage a rebound, boosted by the USDA report.
• Our outlook remains: short-term rebound.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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