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Global Markets Analysis – 3 June 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


6.03周二 内盘低开补跌、马盘止跌;美盘不明朗

6月3日(周二),大陆内盘端午节放假三天,今天节后首个交易日,因美盘和马盘假期期间出现下跌的影响,早盘油脂商品普遍跳空低开,出现了新的下方跳空缺口,该缺口不被弥补的话,短线形式不容乐观。

再观察马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,周一一个红十字星后,今天早盘右侧红盘小涨,短线存在下探支撑考验后的企稳迹象,想确认十字星K线的有效性必须等待中阳以上的K线出现,才能确定反弹的开始。

美盘豆油7月合约,上周处下破5月21日低点,形成5连阴下挫行情,技术走坏迹象明显,严重拖累大陆内盘走势。技术上来讲,本次下蹲整理行情已经较为充分了,下方的空间已经没有多大了,但由于没有明显的止跌信号出现,令内盘商品今天早盘出现跳空补跌行情。

小结:美盘和马盘本次下蹲整理行情从技术上来讲已经整理的较为充分,大陆内盘今天早盘的跳空低开,令5月21日后接盘尝试多单者全部被套,假期持仓风险再次出现,综合考虑美盘和马盘的技术表现,个人建议今天多观察一天,不做具体操作。若下影线收盘成立,等待明天后继盘面表现给出的信号再做具体操作。短线先熬住今天的补跌行情,等待明天的技术指引。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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