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Global Markets Analysis – 3 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.06.2015 周三 美元指数受阻回落

昨日周二晚间,美元指数在60天均线处连续5日未过,60天均线处存在技术阻挡,这在早先的报告中较早有所提到,在该处震荡几日后,昨天终于受阻回落,美元中阴K线下跌,短线的回落整理序幕拉开。

美元的走软,令纽约原油压力减轻,在连续多日牛皮震荡后,美盘原油昨日红盘小阳上涨,虽然涨幅不大,但后市仍有上行空间。

美盘豆油7月合约,在连续2日长阳飙涨后,由于短线涨幅较大,速度较猛,期价远离下方均线,昨日晚间出现技术冲高回落,今天周三亚洲电子盘继续小阴整理,此属于正常现象,大可不必担心,后市只要长阳K线不被吞回,建议继续短多观点看待。(日图表上原横盘箱体上沿附近和周图表上60天均线位置;这双重技术位出现期价波动为正常)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周三早盘略有走软,期价小幅下滑,在多日反弹上行之后,该走势属于正常范畴,不必过于担忧,后市短多观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月合约,在三个跳空缺口之后,昨日周二盘中高开低走阴K线报收,今天周三早盘继续小幅回落,昨日的第三个跳空缺口在今天被弥补,盘中跟随美盘与内盘走势明显,连续跳空之后远离均线的回落也属于正常现象,等待均线的进一步上穿,在5日均线未被下破前,也建议用短多观点看待。

小结:全球油脂类商品,周三盘面出现走软,期价略有下滑,这在快速反弹上行之后出现该现象较为正常,在未出现明显技术走坏前建议散户朋友短多观点保持不变。个人观点认为短线多单继续持有,前期中长线低位接盘多单继续乐观持仓不动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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