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Global Markets Analysis – 3 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.11.2014 周一 油脂类商品反弹上行延续中

周一早盘,美豆油12月亚洲电子盘出现上涨后的小幅整理,期价回落不大,前期的反弹走势未受到明显影响, 后市继续以反弹观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品如豆油与棕榈油1501合约,继续追随美盘的走高而继续呈现反弹补涨,底部区域的前期大震荡仍在确认中,是否是长线角度的大底有待我们后期的继续观察。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,从9月初以来受政策利好支持,率先展开了反弹上行走势, 2000令吉特以下的价格为空头陷阱(这句话我们早在以前报告中就提示到),当前观察马盘毛棕榈油,反弹上行走势最为明显,前期底部区域基本确认,今天周一早盘继续高开高走,短线的反弹上行延续中。

小结:油脂类商品的反弹上行走势延续中,日图表上均线系统已经由空头排列悄悄转变为多头排列雏形,后期期价的运行将受到下方均线的有利支撑,早期的均线压制作用已经消失于无形。后市我们继续以短线反弹观点看待。昨日周报当中提及到马盘毛棕榈油基准1月合约的第一上行目标计算为2239令吉特,在今天已经初步见到,我们可适当把上行目标看高一线:即2236+ 227=2463令吉特。(第二理想目标)也就是说初级目标我设置在2239至2463中间某位置。个人观点认为前期短、中、长各周期的多单仍继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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