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Global Markets Analysis – 03 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


03.11.2015 周二 全球油脂类商品短线的下挫行情延续中

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周一晚间小阴K线下跌,虽然跌幅收窄,但当前的短线震荡下挫整理行情仍在延续中。美国大豆当前收割进度达到92%,剩余的大豆恐将在随后几天收割完毕。到时阴阳太极中的“乐极生悲;否极泰来”投资情绪将有一定的转变,世间万物也不过如此。“月满则亏;水满则溢”物盛则衰。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,今天周二盘面依旧低开低走阴K下跌,特别是内盘棕榈油1601合约下挫更为明显,表明当前内盘油脂商品短线的震荡下探行情延续中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,昨日周一盘中高开低走,长阴下跌收盘。今天周二早盘更是跳空低开,前几次高点2380一线的技术阻挡较为明显,在没有得到内盘与美盘油脂商品的支持,技术上破的难度较大,“人往高处走水往低处流”马盘棕榈期价 同样遇压转为像阻力小的一方移动,昨天今天马盘棕榈的表现,呈现出期价下挫的要求。

小结:美盘与内盘油脂商品短线下探整理技术走势明显,马盘棕榈被变相拖累。全球油脂商品的短线下挫整理行情延续中,在美豆收割尾声,个人继续保持短空观点不变。耐心等待市场投资人士心理上发生新的变化。在盘面出现新的信号时我们会第一时间通知散户朋友平空反多。观点认为:长多短空锁单操作者继续持有双向单,等待后市盘面的新变化。单向空单持有者时刻关注止跌企稳的空单离场时机。建议无仓单场外观望操作者继续观望,后市短线盘面发生变化的时间不会太长了。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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