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Global Markets Analysis – 3 September 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


9.3 周三 短线行情走势模糊

美盘豆油12月,继续在32.00整数关口附近震荡,期价无多大变化,即未延续上周五的下跌也未出现明显技术反弹,更多的表现为以时间换空间萎靡走势,不能给油脂市场带来明确走势指引。

大陆内盘油脂商品周三上午盘,多头继续顽强抵抗,期价始终保持在近期的成交密集区的横盘整理区间内,即未能上破反弹也未能下破走低,多头主力的挣扎抵抗稍见成效,但盘中反弹上行力度仍有所不足。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,在周一公共假期停盘后,周二低开高走收小阳,周三早盘出现可喜一幕,平开高走,截止上午以中阳红盘上涨报收,连续2天红盘上涨,期价来到上周五8月29日高点附近,若短线想延续反弹走势,则8月29日高点1984令吉必须被向上有效突破(收盘价格站于其上2天),否则仍属于下探行情中的短暂震荡反复走势。

小结:美盘豆油走势出现模糊,不能给油脂类商品做出短线行情指引。在未得到美盘支持的情况下,大陆内盘多头主力仍苦苦挣扎抵抗,但抵抗效果仍需值得观察。马盘毛棕榈油周二和周三连续两天出现红盘上涨,在未突破上周五中阴K线前,短线反弹不能盲目下结论。当前油脂商品短线走势都很微妙,值得密切关注。个人观点是:由于短线多方面的不确定性,我们继续保持短线上,既不追空也不接盘进多,场外观望为宜。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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