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Global Markets Analysis – 30 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


30.08.2016 周二 油脂商品强势回落整理行情延续;短线走势上无新意

美盘豆油12月合约,上周五晚间继续阴K线表现,当前期价回抽到下方20天均线位置,短线的回落整理走势延续中,未出现明显的整理结束信号前,我们继续保持短空思维对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,期价下挫整理态势依旧,盘中多头护盘迹象明显,短线的抵抗性强势回落整理行情延续中,从当前盘面上观察-后市短线恐将以“时间换取空间”的方式来具体演绎本波的回落整理行情(回落空间不是很大,但调整时间上要比预期的会稍微长一线),我们继续关注后市盘面变化。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,近几日期价呈现低开高走或者高开低走的震荡反复走势,充分表明当前短线走势呈现抵抗性整理波动无序态势,但整体上来讲,短线角度的期价震荡下挫整理行情仍在延续中,仅仅是由于市场人士对操作周期层次上的理念不同,因此产生了对后市走势方向上的分歧较为严重,我们继续保持短线周期上的短空回落整理观点不变。

小结:油脂类商品回落整理走势延续中,短线盘面走势上仍无新意,期价依旧呈震荡反复波动态势,短线角度我们继续以短空思维对待,直至回落整理真正结束时候,观点认为操作上:中线多单继续持有,短线交易者或场外观望或日内短空快速进出,耐心等待调整结束的日子(恐将还要延续一段时间)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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