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Global Markets Analysis – 30 July 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


30.07.2015 周四 纽约原油短线出现止跌企稳迹象

昨日周三晚间纽约原油红盘上涨,在连续多日的下跌整理之后,低位连续2根小阳K线,令盘面看到丝许反弹上行迹象。我们继续保持50.00美元一线震荡筑大底的中期观点,50美元以下不盲目看空很多。

美盘豆油12月,短线的下探寻支撑仍在进行,30.00一线的横盘测试支撑过程延续中,在油脂类商品整体基本面疲软大背景下,油脂商品的走势难有很大作为, 更多的表现为横盘区间震荡波动走势(周图表上中线横盘走势将近1年)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,期价追随美盘豆油走低,本周较低位置的三个红小兵,隐隐可以看出多头并未完全放弃低位的护盘行为。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,昨日周三中阴K线下跌,盘中补跌迹象明显,考虑到国际原油的短线止跌企稳,建议散户朋友也不盲目下看马棕榈很多。

小结:油脂商品短线走势疲软,均在试探性寻找下方技术支撑位,国际原油率先的止跌企稳,提醒我们下方空间不可看的太大,谨防超跌后的短线反弹。个人观点认为中长线多单操作者在市场横盘震荡区间运行时继续持有。建议短线操作者的短线空单逢低见好就收,不贪与不盲目持仓过夜,尽量逢低空单平仓了结出局。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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