Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 30 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


30.06.2017 周五油脂类商品短线多单持有

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周四晚间中阳上涨,日K线图表上期价上攻站于60天均线上方,美中不足的是昨日晚间的阳K线上留有‘上影线’,表明空头主力尚不认可期价上行,因此今日短线走势上多空主力仍存在“拉锯争夺”走势的可能,但考虑到期价已经比3日前底部略有抬高——继续谨慎的短多观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日周四盘面期价红盘表现,依旧是豆油走势略强于棕榈油,内盘油脂商品整体追随美盘豆油走势,最近国内油脂商品现货市场价格的小幅走高对期货市场也存在一定的提振作用。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,前几日小阴K线横盘状态,昨日周四盘面小阳K线表现,期价略微小幅走高。由于当前棕榈油国际市场多空情绪并存—–未来棕榈油产量呈季节性增长预期以及斋月过后需求放缓(利空情绪),而利多情绪为—–马来西亚令吉特汇率疲软以及国际原油期价低位反弹,这又将从另一个角度限制马盘棕榈下挫空间。后市短线,我们继续以横盘整理走势中谨慎的短多观点对待。

小结:今日周五晚间美国农业部将发布公告(北京时间周六凌晨),报告内容将涉及美国大豆播种面积 季度库存2大块—-不排除美国农业部种植报告存在利多的可能,是否能配合短线技术走势方面“走强”,则是我们后市关注的重点,若报告呈现利空因素,则也不排除出现期价瞬间反复现象。具体操作上:前2日新进多单谨慎持有,静观市场消息面变化。

[SUMMARY]
• USDA report on acreage is due Friday night local time (Saturday morning in Beijing).
• We do not rule out possible bullish data to come out of the report, which may complement a technical uptrend.
• Bearish USDA data may cause edible oil prices to fluctuate.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long positions that were initiated in the last two days, and anticipate market news.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock