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Global Markets Analysis – 30 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


30.03.2016 周三 继续关注油脂商品短线角度的回落整理走势的发生

美盘原油短线回落整理延续中。美豆油5月合约期价却出现了反复,昨日周二晚间期价红盘中阳上涨走高,期价再度临近前几日高点附近,期价的反复波动迹象较为明显,今天是从3月2日反弹上行以来的第20个交易日,我们继续关注随后一两天的期价变动情况。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,今天周三早盘高开低走,中阴表现,期价上冲下探脉冲式表现仍较为明显,短线的快速波动之后我们仍以后市下挫整理观点对待,暂时忽略近几日的期价毛刺式震荡。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,昨日周二盘中马棕榈仍是红盘上冲创出新高2793令吉特, 该高点为波段性高点的可能性越来越强,今天是期价反弹上行以来的第20个交易日,今天周三盘中高开低走小阴K线运行,多单逢高减仓仍为明智之举,短线波段性反弹之后,后市仍有回落整理技术要求,并且是反弹越高回落的要求也会更强。

小结:之前就说到未来5-6天我们将以逢高减仓的操作模式对待,截止到今天与明天,我们这一思维将临近前面的预期时间段,油脂类商品这几日的短线走势出现小的波动震荡走势,高位的震荡走势也不为奇怪,当前走势也仍属于正常,我们后市关注焦点是行情如何演变为真正的回落整理走势(本月23与24两日提前出现过一个假动作)。后市短线技术上,我们仍以反弹上行之后的冲高回落走势对待。 观点认为操作上:短线操作者手中多单全部逢高出局。中长线交易者中的波段性操作者继续逢高减持多单,待后市回落整理发生和结束后再接回。大观点上-震荡筑大底观点我们依旧长期不变,暂时仍以短线交易为主。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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