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Global Markets Analysis – 30 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


30.09.2016 周五 大陆内盘期货市场今天是最后一个交易日

明天十月一日,是中华人民共和国的国庆日,举国上下要欢庆这个节日。中国股票市场与期货市场将于10月1日-10月9日停盘休息,10月10日才开盘交易。(马来西亚方面下周一10月3日是回历新年Awal Muharram,也将停盘休息一天), 在这个长假期内,在这个秋季的收获季节,农产品市场肯定基本面情况要比较复杂多变,后期油脂类商品市场的不确定性风险度较高,因此我们决定在长假期内盘不建议持仓过节-风险的规避永远是第一位的,完全没必要以赌博心态来面对。

当前全球油脂类商品,美盘、内盘、马盘市场-整体出现偏弱走势,期价在波动震荡中等待最后的收割报告数据的出炉,大陆内盘期货市场各大交易所与各大期货公司已经开始提高了期货商品的持仓保证金与金额。在这非常时期,我们建议停止操作,场外休息一段时间,待节后市场情况明朗后,待美盘豆油走势基本明确后,我们再根据市场的新情况从新制定操作计划。

观点认为具体操作上:延续前几天的操作建议-前期新老多单一律减仓;甚至平仓 和出场观望,休息片刻;节后再战!

[SUMMARY]
• Reiterating our outlook in the past few days, traders may partially reduce or even completely liquidate their positions, old and new.
• We shall stay on the sidelines until after the holidays.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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