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Global Markets Analysis – 31 August 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


31.08.2015 周一 油脂类商品短线的反弹上行

今天8月31日周一,为本月的最后一个交易日。在上周五晚间,美盘原油延续周四长阳反弹走势,继续中阳上涨,已经2天红盘暴涨涨,低位后的触底反弹走势盘中表现明显,空杀空特征清晰,后市仍有向上的反弹空间。

美豆油12月合约,上周五晚间同样红盘中阳上涨,在快速脱离底部区域之后,今天周一亚洲电子盘虽小阴运行,但只要上周五的中阳K线不被吞回,则超跌后的技术反弹行情将延续。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,在前期超跌之后下行动能得以释放,上周四与周五连续中阳上涨,反弹雏形展开。由于日K线图表上为空头排列的均线系统,因此短线反弹走势不可能一帆风顺,今天周一早盘高开低走,盘中小阴K线运行,这在连续2天中阳上涨之后仍属于正常现象,后市仍以短多看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,今天周一为公共假期休假,不过我们对马盘上周五时分的跳空高开高走印象深刻,马棕榈的追随性反弹上行仍值得期待。

小结:全球油脂类商品上周末时分全线走高,超跌后的反弹走势明显,我们继续对油脂商品的短线拐点的形成报以乐观态度,后市油脂类商品的反弹上行走势拉开序幕。个人观点认为前期中长线多单继续谨慎持有。短线操作者上周五多单跟进后继续持有,今天周一小阴K线整理时,建议部分短线激进操作者仍可多单逢低进场,后市9月份短线我们保持短多观点看高一线。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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