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Global Markets Analysis – 4 April 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

日周五 大陆清明3天假 接盘多单持仓不动

打开美豆油5月日K图表,在3月31日时候我们曾说过“金针探底”,当时说还需要后面1–2天的K线支持,当时提及“金针探底”K线时候图表并不清晰,经过这几天的走势,我们翻回头再看K线组合, 31日的金针探底就豁然明朗了,不识庐山真面目, 只缘身在此山中。抛开基本面情况,单从技术层面,31日的瞬间下探然后速度收起的K线语言就预示后市向好。

看完美盘豆油,我们看看马盘毛棕榈油6月, 昨日的瞬间下探然后收起,终盘以带下影线的阳十字星收盘, 典型的”金针探底“再次在马盘上重演,有这么好的机会,我们当然不能错过,惊喜同时马盘毛棕榈油多单继续持有。

其实最早出现迫不及待动作(多单接盘动作)的是大陆内盘油脂商品,内盘棕榈油1409合约,在3月25日时候就已经早早出现苗头,仅仅是在随后的几天没有的倒美盘 马盘的支持,短暂转身之后,在4月1日愚人节那天又再次出现一根,该品种已经出现2次瞬间探底回升,我们不想在愚人节被愚弄,对于内盘油脂商品我们能做的就只能是多单接盘后持仓不动,任由多空主力上下来回忽悠。

小结:大陆内盘清明假期放假3天(5号 6号 7号),其中有2天是周末,其实只相当于多放假周一一天,考虑到一天的风险并不会很大,后市我们仍然保持反身而上的C浪运行观点思路不变。 计划已经做出,操作上前期接盘多单依然持仓不动,静观上行力度和高度。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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