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Global Markets Analysis – 4 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


04.11.2014 周二 美原油破位下跌

昨日晚间,美原油出现下跌,前期的平台整理底部被下破,80.00一线的整数关在抵抗多日之后宣告失败,令短线的横盘整理成交密集区再次技术走坏,美原油市场继续延续了中线的下降趋势而走低,至此短线与中线角度,原油市场后市仍存见新低可能。

受周一国际原油下跌影响,昨日晚间美豆油12月也出现高开低走态势,终盘以中阴K线下跌收盘,今天周二亚洲电子盘仍呈短线走低,出现了冲高反弹之后的整理,我们密切关注该下跌整理的力度与幅度。

大陆内盘豆油1501合约,周二早盘追随美盘的下跌,跳空低开低走,期价回落下方均线。 棕榈油1501合约高开低走。内盘油脂出现不同程度回落整理。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,同样受外围市场油脂商品下跌影响,周二早盘同样出现低开低走,但期价回落幅度受马来西亚马币疲软而跌幅有所收窄,强于大陆内盘 美盘油脂,期价仍受下方5日均线的支撑。

小结:受昨日国际原油破位下跌影响,今天周二早盘油脂类商品普遍出现走低,技术上短线观察,仍属于前期加速上行反弹后的正常回落整理,不排除部分多头获利盘涌出平仓,后市只要期价在前期技术反弹的关键阻力之上运行,我们短线仍继续以反弹观点对待,仅有前期占领的高地被吞回我们才考虑多单平仓了结出局。个人观点认为前期多单谨慎持有多观察2日,密切关注后市市场盘面变化。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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