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Global Markets Analysis – 04 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


04.11.2015 周三 部分空单可考虑适当减仓

日K线图表上,美盘豆油12月,仍顽强的围绕在60天线附近横盘震荡,期价始终未明显下跌很多,表现下方存在一定的买盘支撑,有一双无形的手在托住,这点要引起我们的警惕。随着时间的推移,下方下行动能衰竭之时,就存在向上反弹的要求,这也是我们所提前预期期待的。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,当前短线延续下挫整理,但期价下跌幅度远比大豆与豆粕小的多,今天周三盘中,豆油1601合约低开高走,盘中做多能量有所凝聚,内盘部分空单可以开始考虑逢低平仓出局了。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,周一高开低走收中阴,昨日周二低开低走留下影线,今天周三早盘又高开高走,短线表现为期价上下跳跃宽幅剧烈波动,这也比较符合第4浪(复杂浪)的运行特点,后市发生第5浪上涨的概率大增。

美原油昨日晚间中阳上涨,脱离日图表上均线的束缚,反弹动能未衰竭前,继续保持短多观点。

小结:油脂类商品今天盘面表现出现喜人一面,盘中各个品种出现走强的苗头,虽然短线走势还不是特别明确,(当行情完全明朗之后则空单就已经错过最佳的出场机会),但也要引起我们的警惕。市场短线下挫是否结束,我们需要更多一天的盘面观察。观点认为部分空单今日可适当平仓了结出局,双向单中原有多单持仓不动,逐步变成单向持单。短线单向空单平仓了结。场外观望操作者今日可少量多单接盘试仓,也可等明天行情更为明朗后多单第一时间跟进。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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