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Global Markets Analysis – 5 January 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong

05.01.2018周五 油脂类商品多单继续持有

美盘豆油3月合约,连续几日期价阳K线上涨,超跌“低位拐点”之后的技术反弹走势延续中,今天周五亚洲电子盘期价已经上攻到34.07一线,我们继续保持短线角度的短多思维观点不变。 本波反弹走势是对前期超跌下挫走势的一种技术修复,我们后市关注焦点转移到反弹高度上来。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,今天周五继续红盘上涨表现,盘中减仓上行—前期空头主力离场迹象动作明显。我们继续短多观点不变(今日盘面 内盘棕榈油1805合约短线在5385一线存在一点压力)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,周三一根长阳K线暴涨,是对前期超跌下挫行情的一种报复性反抗动作,昨日周四盘面正如我们预期那样,日内出现了小幅回落整理,今天周五盘面继续红盘表现—马盘棕榈油反弹上行 回抽日K线图表均线系统(由于前期连续32个交易日下挫 均线系统已经演变成空头排列),继续关注反弹到上方那根均线会受到压制(我们第一小目标是40天均线2600-2均线610整数关附近 第二目标是60天2660一线)。马盘棕榈今日盘面在2610一线存在一定技术阻挡(前期11月底时候的成交密集区)。

小结: 全球油脂类商品短线技术反弹走势延续中, 在前期超跌之后,盘面低位拐点反身动作走势明显(低位拐点的酝酿周期比我们此前心理预期多出10–21个交易日),我们继续短多思维不变,后市关注焦点转移到反弹高度上来? 具体操作上: 前期多单继续持有,后市部分散户朋友手中解套多单可逢高兑现离场操作。

• Uptrend of Global edible oils continues, as a upward correction is in the progress.
• After the oversold condition had occurred in the previous session, the market rebounded and traded higher obviously.
• We remain our short-term long outlook.

• Traders may retain long positions and may consider reducing long positions when the prices are high.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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