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Global Markets Analysis – 5 June 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


6.05周四 油脂商品后市走强迹象出现苗头

昨日晚间,美盘豆油长阳上涨,这是继十字星之后的首个红盘报收,连续多日的下探整理行情终于被终结,这也是对十字星K线探底成功的确认,也是我们前几日对盘面的预期。技术观察,后市上行概率逐步增强。

大陆内盘油脂商品在周二假期过后首日开盘出现跳空式补跌,周三短暂右侧整理,当时我们建议,前期接盘被套多单多熬一两交易日。今天周四早盘,内盘油脂商品普遍再次跳空高开,期价再次回到原多单进场价位,昨天提到的跳空缺口被弥补。技术观察下方周二和周三双日反转出现雏形,原下蹲式探底宣告结束。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月技术走势仍较为不明显,盘口呈震荡式右侧小幅度盘升,期价重心小幅上移,等待马盘更活跃的技术表现。

小结:内外盘油脂商品,行情走势基本符合我们的预期,日图标下均线系统空头排列下的期价反弹之路走势艰难,在各个运行周期相互反驳影响下的行情走势较为不流畅,单边大行情运行概率不大,盘面更多表现为一波三折式振动走势。对付这种模糊行情,多看少动为良策。 个人观点是前期尝试接盘多单继续持有,后市存在逐步走强可能,若盘中出现大量买盘涌出,可尝试少量多单进场跟进。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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