Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 5 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.11.2014 周三 美原油的下跌严重影响到油脂类商品的反弹节凑

美原油的破位下跌,令短线形态与中线角度均呈现下行走势,其下方的技术支撑位已经从短线上找不到,整数关80.00被下破后,空头主力完全掌握着国际原油市场,并且对全球油脂类商品带来极大心理冲击。

今天周三早盘,美原油的下跌同样传导到化工类商品上,日本橡胶长阴暴跌,大陆内盘橡胶1501合约更是以跌停报收,橡胶类商品的前期反弹走势已经完全走坏,后市出现下挫整理技术要求。

美盘豆油同样受到冲击,前期的反弹节奏被打乱,期价再次出现回落。大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1501合约今天早盘低开低走,期价的回落幅度与力度都比较大,盘面呈现减仓下行,多头主力止损出逃迹象明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月也未能幸免,在美盘豆油与大陆内盘油脂商品下行的拖累下,今天也呈现出低开低走态势,虽然回落的幅度没有大陆内盘明显,但前期的反弹上行节奏已经收到干扰,个人觉得操作上同样需要谨慎。

小结:受美原油中线下跌,短线破位后寻支撑下挫影响,全球油脂商品与化工商品周三均出现不同程度的爆跌,前期短线上的反弹走势节奏被打乱,(回落的幅度与力度大于心理预期)市场投资人士心理因素受到极大冲击,多头减仓行为明显,前期反弹受阻。个人观点认为大陆内盘多单了结出局。马盘回落力度较弱,但能否顶住整体恐慌情绪还不清楚,考虑到毛棕榈油基准1月下方仍有均线支撑,期价还运行在前高9月30日高点之上,短线多单可减半仓止盈,稍稳健者持仓再观察时日。把止损点设置于2236令吉特之下x点。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.