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Global Markets Analysis – 05 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


5.11.2015 周四 前期回落整理短空行情即将结束

昨日周三晚间,美盘豆油12月,红盘中阳上涨,期价走强意图开始显露。若今日明日晚间仍能持续走强,那就表明当前的短线回落整理结束,后市存在上行机会。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,昨日周三内盘豆油1601合约主动发力上涨,终盘以光头光脚的中阳K线收盘,盘中走强迹象明显。今天周四盘中虽然期价涨幅不大,耐心等待对10月15日前高5686点位的突破。内盘棕榈油1601今天期价小幅下挫,后市转强意愿还不是十分强烈,由于该品种也回落整理时间不短了, 逢低空单平仓离场仍为上策。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,昨日高开高走长阳上涨,今天在长阳K线右上角期价波动,2380一线的技术位置仍在考验马盘棕榈1月的盘面表现,只有当期价真正站于2380一线之上,向上突破才算真正成立,建议继续关注该品种在关键位置的市场表现。

小结:油脂类商品短线出现走高意愿,虽然每个品种上涨幅度不同,但在出现上行苗头之前,前期空单逢低减仓仍为最佳操作策略。至于新进多单是否跟进,这样考虑散户朋友个人的操作理念与性格。观点认为:空单首先继续平仓离场。内盘油脂多单可少量进场埋伏。马盘棕榈有2种操作方式:1.逢低多单进场埋伏一部分。2.待期价突破2380之后,真正站稳之上再适当追进一部分。后市短线角度我们以短线回落整理即将结束观点看待,市场存在转强上行反弹欲望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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