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Global Markets Analysis – 5 October 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


05.10.2017周四美盘豆油12月合约出现“报复性”反弹动作

美盘豆油12月合约,本周初(10.2日)仍处于中阴K线下跌状态,期价创出新低,并且在周二时候(10月3日)的小阳K线仍处于阶段性低位的震荡—–但在昨日周三(10月4日)晚间,期价长阳上涨,报复性反弹动作发生,今天周四亚洲电子早盘,期价仍出现上攻姿态,美豆油短线回落整理之后的“报复性”反弹动作开始明显起来,美盘豆油的短线走势,与我们在节前心理预期完全吻合。

大陆内盘因公共假期,国内金融市场停盘中,无法交易。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,连续的2天的阳K线表现,盘中出现了止跌企稳之后的错列上行态势,期价恰好在下方60天均线附近受到买盘支撑,在连续10几个交易日的下挫调整之后,盘中存在强烈的短线反弹要求。由于马盘不存在假期停盘情况,因此建议马盘散户朋友可于今日少量多单进场试盘交易,后市存在一个短线反弹机会(我们先按弱势短线反弹观点对待 )。

小结:美盘豆油出现超跌之后的技术反弹动作,内盘交易者因停盘无法交易。但对马盘散户朋友来说,不存在无法交易情况,在操作上可稍微早于内盘——-先行进场埋伏一小部分多单(尽量逢盘中低点多单埋伏),后市存在期价反弹上行可能,我们建议暂且以短多的弱势反弹观点对待。

[SUMMARY]
• After downward correction in US soybean oil has been done, the market rebounded and continued its uptrend.
• China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange is shut for a public holiday.

[ACTION]
• For Malaysia market, retail traders may initiate long positions when the prices are low.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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