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Global Markets Analysis – 6 June 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


6.06周五 美大豆期价出现下滑

美盘黄豆连前期一直震荡在高位,近几日重心下移,昨日晚间阴K下跌,对美豆油造成拖累,令美豆油长阳之后右侧包含一根中阴线,后市只要6月4日长阳不被阴K线吞回,我们就以反弹看待。

内盘油脂商品中豆粕1409合约,前期一直震荡上行,昨天开始出现下滑,期价从高位回落,短线出现走坏迹象。内盘豆油昨天跳空高开弥补跳空缺口,但终盘以阴K收盘。今天早盘低开,短线在空头排列的均线压制下,再次呈现一波三折震荡模糊走势。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月合约,走势较为稳重,期价波动变化不大,短线可操作性不强。

小结:美豆出现下跌,下破日图表60天线,内盘豆类商品也跟随,短线的回落整理已经不可避免。油脂类商品整体上变化不大。个人观点是我们仍以逢低买进接盘油脂商品多单,已经接盘多单者可适量放空豆类商品,形成买油脂空豆类;跨品种套利交易模式来降低账户风险。马盘交易者已进多单者继续持有,未进仓者场外观望,仍不建议短空交易,待盘中急跌可少量多单进场补仓,下方空间不大,耐心等待反弹机会的到来。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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