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Global Markets Analysis – 7 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.7 周一 美元指数反弹上涨 油脂类商品下探继续整理

美盘豆油和国际原油期价上周双双下跌,与此同时美元指数出现反弹上涨走势,令大宗商品期货价格出现走低迹象。其中美盘豆油跌幅略小于美盘大豆,短线下探性质的整理仍延续中,对于中长期油脂类商品的上涨空间来说,我个人仍抱乐观观点。

周一早盘,大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油继续走低,特别是豆油1501主力合约,下破前低技术走坏后再创出新低。棕榈油1501主力合约早盘走势略强于豆油,呈低开高收抵抗性下跌。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准9月,在趋势线下方运行,走势强于国内,期价仍位于6月12日前低上方,虽呈现出抵抗下跌盘口的意愿,但回落震荡行情仍未结束。

小结:美元走高,期货大宗商品普遍承压。油脂类商品仍延续下探回落行情。个人觉得在操作上仍以短空长多观点对待,在短线未出现止跌企稳技术信号之前,短线操作者仍以逢高短空模式操作,中长线角度操作者场外观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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