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Global Markets Analysis – 7 July 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


07.07.2017 多单继续持有但时刻准备逢高减仓

美盘豆油12月合约,期价反弹过程中出现剧烈波动,当前市场炒作就如天气变化一样——–孙猴子的脸72变。美盘油脂商品当前期价运行不具备单边大行情(基本面 技术面),我们以短线操作成为主。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,短线反弹上行延续中,理论上反弹走势延续中,但逢高减仓开始纳入进程。

马盘棕榈油基准9月,期价反弹凌厉而迅捷,我们保持短多思维不变,但谨防期价发生突然变化——-这种警惕开始 开始纳入我们思维后续思维当中。

小结:内盘马盘油脂类商品短线反弹上行延续中,但考虑到国际原油美盘豆油短线走势的剧烈变化,我们散户朋友思维中提前的谨慎心态不可缺少——当前油脂商品从技术层面或者基本面层面都不具备单边大行情(单边大涨或者单边大跌),所以谨慎心态不可缺少。 金融市场自古就存在一句话“会买的是孙子,会卖的才是爷爷”仓单如何出场才是我们的主题,考虑到前期若干次仓单被瞬间的行情变化——-造成利润化为虚有,所以我们这次操作还是谨慎为妙。具体操作上:鉴于前期期价变化无常,我们衷心建议散户朋友以短线交易为主,不求太贪只求效率——在短线多单持有情况下,时刻准备好逢高兑现利润心理准备工作,接下来的重点—–多单逐步逢高减仓。

[SUMMARY]
• Although the rebound of China and Malaysia is in progress, the plunge of global crude and US soybean oil is a cause of concern that retail traders must be highly cautious about.
• With high volatility due to technical and fundamental factors, we should exercise high level of caution.

[ACTION]
• Due to high uncertainty in the markets, we advise that retail traders limit themselves to short-term trading.
• Traders may prepare to close-out long position when prices are high.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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