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Global Markets Analysis – 7 May 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周三 回落行情延续中

美豆油7月 ,回落行情进行中,下探寻找支撑尚未结束。 2014.3.31日前低为这波回落寻找支撑所要挑战的第一目标, 该低点是否支撑住是考验后市行情的关键点,我们密切关注该位置的具体表现。

内盘油脂商品棕榈油1409,2014.5.5日节后开盘,一个跳空缺口下来,已经把前期横盘大区间给打破,技术形态已经完全走坏, 前期接盘多单没逢高减持者已经完全被套,今天早盘由于期价远离日图表均线,形成低开高走,截止到上午收盘红盘报收,但这不足以说明调整已经结束,价格还会继调整多几天。

马盘基准7月毛棕榈油,在前低4月11日低点2560之上继续运行,离该低点只一步之遥, 2560低点准备接受考验,若支撑成功后市翻身而上/若下破该点则必创新低。 我个人观点到目前为止更倾向后者。

小结: 油脂商品回落下探各自支撑位进行中,并未出现明显止跌信号, 短线回落观点继续保持不变。 个人看法是, 激进者短空操作仍可延续, 空仓者场外继续观望,在未见明显技术支撑信号前,不轻易进场交易。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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