Share

Tweet this

Global Markets Analysis – 7 September 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


9.7 周日 本周油脂商品回顾 (01.09.2014 – 05.09.2014) 及下周展望

本周9月1日 – 9月5日5个交易日内,大陆内盘油脂商品表现一般,5天来期价原地踏步整体变化不大,操作价值较弱,整体呈现为小十字星状态,行情走势仍处于前期的横盘整理的成交密集区内,在未摆脱该区域的纠缠之前(上阻挡和下支撑),场外观望只能是无奈的选择办法(若美盘下周出现走强可第一时间开盘后少量多单跟进)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,本周仅有4个交易日(9月1日周一假期休盘),周二开盘后期价低开高走,随后3天期价稳步走高,据了解是马盘有利多减税政策支持,但技术上的强势已经得以体现,截止到周五期价已经来到20天均线位置(日图表为空头排列的下降趋势),下周初仍存在挑战2050(20天线平均价格)的要求,考虑到上方均线的层层压制,我们仅把本周行情走势定义为技术反弹雏形,至于上行高度我们要看下周主力多头的力度跟意愿了,已进多单可谨慎持有,反弹延续中.

美盘豆油12月,前半周继续下探后半周小福走高,但先抑后扬的走势仍缺少力度,期价仅来到10天均线处,盘中犹豫气氛较浓,但技术观察,下周仍存在超卖后的短线反弹要求,但反弹高度当前不确定。

综述:本周油脂商品走势中,马盘毛棕榈油率先出现反弹苗头,后市走势关键尚待美盘在力度上的支持。下周有2个重要报告公布,分别是9月10日周三MPOB报告以及9月12日周五美国农业部报告。而下周一9月8日又是中国大陆传统节日“中秋节”假期停盘。这期间不确定因素较多,未持仓者场外观望较佳。技术性抢反弹操作者已进多但可继续持有,短线上观察后市仍存在上行空间,仅仅是具体高度上有诸多不确定因素,我们的观点是先以弱势反弹看待,倘若有风吹草动不利因素反弹多单可减磅。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock