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Global Markets Analysis – 8 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.8 周二 美豆油继续整理中

从美盘豆油12月长期图表和月图表观察,该品种横盘整理已经10个月多了,平台走势明显,表现为震荡筑大底过程中。短线角度来说,每次短暂上扬之后,就发生回落行情,当前期价维持在38.00低点一线运行,后市该位置只要不明显下破 ,则低点接盘多单的操作就仍存在可操作性。

大陆内盘和马盘油脂类商品,短线继续保持下探寻支撑,特别是大陆内盘豆油,本波回落幅度较大,表明短线基本面情况尚不支持期价走出单边大行情,市场仍属于下跌之后的震荡筑中长期大底的技术范畴,短空长多的观点不变。

小结:油脂商品下跌回落延续中,密切关注美豆油12月在38.00–38.30一线的表现,是否出现回落企稳迹象,一旦出现技术信号,我们场外观望的稳健操作者随时准备多单进场。在短线不明确前,短线操作者仍以短空操作对待,空单不贪,遇急跌见好就收。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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