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Global Markets Analysis – 8 June 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


6.08周日 豆类油脂类本周行情回顾

豆类商品与油脂商品本周5个交易日走势出现分化,从全球大豆类商品来说,前期整体都在高位保持震荡上行态势,本周初开始美盘大豆率先出现期价下滑整理,内盘豆类商品周四和周五也被迫跟随下行,一改前期的强势,短线继续技术回落整理。

油脂商品本周走势却正好相反,前期油脂商品整体表现较弱,下探寻找支撑技术走势明显, 特别是美盘豆油7月,直到6月3日的探底十字星出现,疲软态势才出现被终止信号,随后几天美盘豆油也出现止跌反弹的苗头。

大陆内盘油脂商品本周短一个交易日,端午节假期过后,周二开盘跳空低开补跌,令前期尝试接盘多单但被套,随后本周几个交易,期价出现震荡性抵抗,走势模糊,向下的跳空缺口存在技术要求。豆类商品周末时分出现急跌,其中豆粕1409合约下跌整理迹象明显, 空豆类买油脂的套利操作模式成为上策。

马盘毛棕榈油8月,本周5个交易日走势平淡而稳重,呈现下探整理后的右侧横盘,5天中期价变化不大,K线呈阴阳交错式小幅度,短线操作性不强,但考虑到下探整理已经有一段时间了,下方空间已经缩窄,耐心等待技术上行要求。

综述:本周油脂类商品短线出现止跌企稳的苗头,其中美盘豆油十字星收盘过后期价出现反弹态势。内盘油脂商品上窜下蹦紧紧跟随,走势略显模糊,空粕买油操作模式成为可能。马盘毛棕榈油8月,期价5天来横盘整理,短线可操作性不强,中线逢低买入等待跟随美盘反弹。本具体操作均为激进操作者模式,较为稳健操作者以及短线交易者可适当观望,等待油脂商品明确的反弹信号出现再进场接盘多单也不迟。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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