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Global Markets Analysis – 8 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.06.2015 周一 油脂商品中美盘与马盘略强;大陆内盘略弱

美盘豆油7月合约,继续保持上周的震荡上扬态势,盘中虽然期价涨幅不大,但短线的反弹格局未产生变化,上周五晚间曾出现盘中的中阳上涨,创出近期新高,但尾盘的冲高回落仍表明在关键技术位人心略有不稳,继续观察美豆油的后续走势变化。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,今天周一早盘跳空高开,盘中创出近期反弹新高,震荡爬升格局未变,继续保持短多观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,上周表现为先扬后抑,冲高回落期价略有下滑。今天周一早盘期价仍小幅走低,盘中继续上行走势略显举步艰难, 棕榈强豆油弱表现明显。针对大陆内盘油脂商品今天周一的走势表现来说,内盘油脂部分多头主力出现了减仓行为,若后市此操作仍继续恶化,建议散户朋友中短线操作者可适当考虑减仓前期接盘多单。(先在思维上保持一个警惕)同时密切关注美盘后市走势的具体表现。

小结:美盘豆油与马盘棕榈油延续前期的反弹走势较为明显,盘中并未出现技术走坏迹象,大陆内盘略有不同,部分多头主力的减仓形成对盘面产生了不利影响。整体来说,短线的反弹震荡上扬走势未变,继续保持短多观点不变(内盘要稍微警惕些)。个人观点认为中长线前期低位接盘多单持仓不动,短线多单(内盘)若明天短线疲软仍不扭转,可适当减持部分多单。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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