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Global Markets Analysis – 8 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


08.10.2014 周三 大陆内盘油脂商品节后开盘

大陆内盘期货市场在国庆7天长假期后,今天首次开盘交易,早盘豆油和棕榈油小幅高开,期价与节前变化不大,豆油1501合约呈现小幅整理,棕榈油1501合约期价在箱体上沿部位震荡,整体来说油脂商品今天首次开盘后,期价波动不大,成交略显萎缩。

美盘豆油12月,在本周一中阳上涨后,期价来到9月中旬的前高部位,若此高点被向上突破则表明前期的横盘区间被打破。若高点不过则表明仍在横盘区间内运行,当前期价在前高附近震荡积蓄动能,在美盘未出现明确指引前,大陆内盘和马盘将保持现状,不会出现明显独立盘面动作。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,今天周三早盘平开高走,期价在10月1日前高2223下方止步,日线图表上均线系统继续保持短期均线上穿长期均线的态势,期价在关键技术位等待外围市场的支持,短线角度来说,9月初以来的震荡反弹上行仍呈延续状态,尚无明确信号宣告结束。

小结:油脂商品周三走势呈小幅波动,成交略显清淡。考虑到本周五(10月10日),美国农业部将发布10月份供需报告,马来西亚棕榈油局将发布9月份棕榈油产量、出口以及库存数据。在重要报告未出炉前,油脂商品整体小幅震荡,交投略显谨慎也是可以理解。个人看法是:已平仓了结多单者场外观望,未平仓干净的前期(马盘)多单可继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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